It's amazing how much can change in three weeks. The cosmic shift in SD-33, where we have a completely different candidate in the driver's seat, highlights just one of several changes to the second version of the BingChester State Senate Horserace Ranker. I'll be referencing the quarterly financial filings to help guide my analysis as well as some general thoughts and opinions on the state of the races. For those of you too lazy to jump over the fold, here's the overall picture:
1- Gustavo Rivera
2- Mike Kaplowitz
3- Tony Avella
4- Regina Calcaterra
5- Susan Savage
6- David Carlucci
7- Charlie Ramos
8- Joanne Yepsen
9- Dave Mejias
10- Didi Barrett
Top Ten
1) SD-33: Gustavo Rivera
It's hard to fully explain how great the past two weeks have been from Gustavo Rivera. He's gone from appearing like the also ran to being the top candidate to pushing out his main competitor in the race to be the reform option against Pedro Espada. It started with the endorsement of the New Roosevelt Institute and then followed with a series of unflattering interviews and blog pieces with Desiree Pilgrim-Hunter. Next thing you know, Desiree is out of the race, Gustavo has the Working Families endorsement, and he ended the quarter with a respectable haul of 65,000.
What's especially noteworthy here is that Gustavo has momentum. At the end of the financial filing he was the 4th "hottest" page on all of ActBlue. The vast majority of the money he raised was done in the last two weeks, including several thousand raised in small (under $100) contributions on July 11th. There's obviously no guarantee when your opponent is Pedro Espada, but things are looking good for Gustavo.
Read more at the Albany Project: http://thealbanyproject.com/diary/8597/state-senate-horserace-ranker-2-f...
